Expected Year When AI Will Outperform Humans in Selected Functions

Expected Year When AI Will Outperform Humans in Selected Functions

Proof Point

Artificial intelligence systems expected by AI experts to outperform humans in some functions such as writing, translating, driving trucks and working in retail in next 15 years

Expected Year When AI Will Outperform Humans in Selected Functions

2017

Note: Based on survey conducted by Oxford University's Future of Humanity Institute covering 352 AI experts who published works at the 2015 Neural Information Processing Systems Conference and 2015 International Conference on Machine Learning

Proof Point Findings

  • Natural Language – Artificial intelligence expected to outperform humans in translating languages by 2024, composing high-school essays by 2026, and writing best-selling books by 2049
  • Job Performance – Estimated to outperform human truck drivers by 2027, those working in retail by 2031, and human surgeons by 2053
  • Key Growth Drivers – Include accelerating AI technologies, rapidly advancing computing power, proliferation of AI applications across industries, and increasing demand for process automation

Accelerator

Market Disruption

Sector

Cross-sector

Source

Date Last Updated

September 1, 2017

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